Occasional Paper No. 46: Fixing the Fix? Assessing the Effectiveness of the 4pm Fix

We examine the design and effectiveness of the 4pm Fix, the most important benchmark in FX markets, using a unique dataset of trader identified orderbook data from an inter-dealer venue. We propose and examine new measures of benchmark quality and examine changes to market liquidity and trader behaviour.

Occasional Paper No.46 (PDF)

Summary

Benchmark quality, measured as price efficiency and robustness, improves after the lengthening of the fix window to 5 minutes, but comes at the cost of a significant increase in tracking error for users of the benchmark. We also find that quoted spreads and price impact increase following the window lengthening, with HFTs trading more aggressively during the fix.

Authors

Martin Evans, Peter O'Neill, Dagfinn Rime and Jo Saakvitne.

Martin Evans is a Professor at Georgetown University and NBER. Peter O'Neill works in the Economics Division of the Financial Conduct Authority. Dagfinn Rime is a Professor at BI Norwegian Business School. Jo Saakvitne works at Boston Consulting Group and is a PhD Candidate at BI Norwegian Business School.

Disclaimer

Occasional Papers contribute to the work of the FCA by providing rigorous research results and stimulating debate. While they may not necessarily represent the position of the FCA, they are one source of evidence that the FCA may use while discharging its functions and to inform its views. The FCA endeavours to ensure that research outputs are correct, through checks including independent referee reports, but the nature of such research and choice of research methods is a matter for the authors using their expert judgement. To the extent that Occasional Papers contain any errors or omissions, they should be attributed to the individual authors, rather than to the FCA.